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Despite recovering a bit lately, Disney is still well below the level from before the pandemic. But, with Disney+ and the overall streaming environment advancing in a good direction, there is quite a bit of potential. Since I looked into WBD and Comcast recently, I decided to look into Disney again and see if anything is different.
The company was affected a lot due to the pandemic. If you remember, they had to close the parks and even when they reopened they weren’t running at full capacity. But, so far they are recovering pretty well, being back almost to the level from before the pandemic. If they make, let’s say $8 billion, for a $185 billion market cap, that’s a ratio of around 23, so definitely a bit high. However, there is untapped potential from Disney+, which so far has been pretty much a money sink as they were investing heavily, but now they might start to reap the benefits, but more on that in the valuation.
Financially, they aren’t doing that well, with the current assets not covering the current liabilities. The total assets are well above the total liabilities though, so it’s not terrible and with a credit line or something, they should be ok. You can see about $100 billion in equity, but keep in mind that $74 billion is in goodwill. So, in reality, you have about $30 billion in equity valued at $185 billion. If you look at Comcast or especially Warner Bros - which I covered before - that’s quite a bit.
A year ago, they targeted $5.5 billion in annual cost savings from marketing, labor, technology and more. They can then use it to invest or pay back some debt, or do buybacks, dividends and so on.
They recently announced a bundle with Warner Bros, and this is an interesting development for the streaming industry. We saw Netflix, Comcast and Apple also doing something similar around the same time. They basically sacrifice the margins, but they potentially win from the volume. Disney and Max together for example have many billions worth of IPs and you can really get a complete package with any of these 2 bundles.
Now, comparing it to Netflix, they would be very cheap - like everyone else. Netflix is an almost $300 billion company that finally managed to make like $7 billion.
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0:00 Disney (DIS) Stock Review
0:20 Disney (DIS) Financial Analysis, Disney+ vs Netflix, WBD & More
4:15 Disney (DIS) Stock Valuation + Price Target + Conclusions
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