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In this video, we look into the silver mining industry! Namely, we go through Pan American Silver (PAAS), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), First Majestic (AG), Fresnillo (FNLPF) and Fortuna Silver Mines (FSM).
With silver and gold being some of the best performers this year, the mining companies seem to lag behind. Most of them are traded at 2019 levels, when silver was nearly half of what it is today. But, with interest rate cuts on the way, these commodities might still have room to grow, which can be very good for the silver mining companies.
A majority of the demand for silver comes from industrial uses, like electronics or photovoltaics, but investing also has a significant share. So, not depending on China is in itself pretty significant, but on the other hand, the commodity will depend even more on the market.
This is somewhat similar to gold, but silver has more uses. There is potential from EVs and solar which can widen the supply gap and that can have a very nice effect on the price.
But, there is a downside of having a big amount of the demand coming from actual uses instead of investments like gold. That means that fear of missing out and speculation and so on wouldn’t be able to push the price up too much because it would lower the demand from the real sources and could lead to a balance in the market. It doesn’t mean that it can’t go up a lot, but it would affect for how long it would remain high, which is also very important.
This means that interest rates will also have an impact. I said this in the gold video but, simply put, today, you can get 4-5% per year from the theoretically risk-free treasuries, while silver or gold pay you nothing - at best, you can count on inflation protection. However, when the rates get back to zero and the treasuries pay you even less than inflation, silver and gold become a much more attractive option for banks and funds and so on. They have a majority of the money, so they pretty much make the price. So, despite the price being high, there is potential that once the rates are cut, it can get even higher, and this is one of the reasons why commodities went up in the first place.
But, same as gold miners, silver companies are in a spot where they are much lower than the previous peak of the commodity, and they would benefit even more from rate cuts.
And, since 2021, we can see a pretty significant supply gap, so it’s actually pretty impressive that the price didn’t go up sooner. But, again, this is about supply and demand in relation to the environment and especially time.
Anyway, the longer we see such prices, the better it is for the mining companies. That, combined with lower rates can be very very beneficial for them.
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DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and nothing on this channel should qualify as investing advice. All information is provided for your education or entertainment. It is not intended to be investment advice. This information is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal financial position or objectives. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
0:00 Investing in Silver & Silver Miners in 2024
2:30 Silver Mining Industry Analysis: PAAS, WPM, AG, FNLPF, FSM
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