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| Name | Stock Analysis and Valuation: The Five Step Research Process - Gary Mishuris |
| Video Uploader | Video From Gary Mishuris |
| Upload Date | This Video Uploaded At 27-03-2019 22:40:24 |
| Video Discription | How do you perform company analysis and stock valuation once you have identified an attractive opportunity? In this video I explain my Five Step Research Process and how I use it to perform company due diligence and security analysis. The Five Step Research Process consists of the following steps: Step 1: Company Quality Assessment Company quality is based on the quality of the business, the management team and the balance sheet. Business quality: How structurally attractive is the industry? How strong is the company's competitive advantage? Is it getting stronger or weaker? Management quality: How competent is the management team at operations and capital allocation? How aligned are their incentives with the shareholders? Balance sheet quality: Is the balance sheet strong enough to withstand temporary adversity without the company being forced to raise capital on unattractive terms? Step 2: Analysis of Key Economic Variables This step aims to: 1. Identify the handful of economic variables that will have the greatest impact on the business’s long-term economics, and 2. Estimate a reasonable range of outcomes for each variable. Step 3: Financial Modeling The third step of the process begins where the second step ended. Having identified the key economic variables and a reasonable range of values for each, I use that analysis to model the company’s income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement, and then create three scenarios: worst case, base case and best case. Step 4: Valuation My basic valuation tool for stocks is the discounted cash flow model (DCF) of equity free cash flows forecasted in the prior step. I use the same discount rate – 10% – for all companies and all scenarios. The DCF can be an imperfect tool. A reasonable criticism is that it is overly sensitive to small input changes and to user manipulation of assumptions. To guard against these, I cross-check DCF-derived values against other measures such a valuation multiples (e.g. normalized P/E, EV/EBITA) and private market transactions. Step 5: Behavioral Checklist Before investment analysis is complete, I apply a checklist designed to identify things that I may have missed as well as behavioral biases that may have influenced my analysis. This is a dynamic list; it has been evolving over time, reflecting lessons learned from past mistakes made by me and by other investors. Doing thorough fundamental analysis and valuation work is an important part of any value investing process. The Five Step Research Process helps ensure a systematic and repeatable approach that helps minimize the impact of behavioral biases. If you want an example of how I apply this process, please check out a recent article that I wrote for Forbes titled "Lyft IPO from a Value Investor's Perspective" https://www.forbes.com/sites/garymishuris/2019/03/25/lyft-ipo-from-a-value-investors-perspective/ Please SUBSCRIBE to my channel above to get regular content that can help you make better investment decisions. For more resources, check out the articles that I write at the Behavioral Value Investor: https://behavioralvalueinvestor.com/ If you want to learn more about Silver Ring Value Partners, you can find more information here: https://silverringvaluepartners.com/ Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gary-mishuris-cfa-7567902/ Follow me on Quora where I regularly answer questions: https://www.quora.com/profile/Gary-Mishuris Send me an e-mail: contact@silverringvaluepartners.com [wIKEcpL6Xv0] |
| Category | Education |
| Tags | stock analysis | stock valuation | business analysis | management analysis | company analysis | fundamental analysis | due diligence | value investing | security analysis | industry analysis | competitive advantage |
